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11
April 2003 1. "Turkey and the Iraq conflict",
the choice of Ankara as the destination for the US Secretary of States
first trip abroad since the Iraq war began is a powerful symbol of the
turbulence that has afflicted Turkish-US relations over recent weeks.
2. "Kurdish Leaders Order Fighters Out of Kirkuk", Iraqi Kurdish leaders say they have ordered their fighters to move out of the northern oil center of Kirkuk by the end of Friday in favor of U.S. command. 3. "A muddled message from an embattled new government", it is becoming unclear exactly what sort of country Turkey's prime minister, Tayyip Erdogan, hopes to build or how he wants to set about it. 4. "Fall of Kirkuk revives Turkey's fears of Kurdish independence", the seizure on Thursday of Kirkuk, one of two strategic oil cities in northern Iraqi, by US-backed Kurds has sharply revived fears in Turkey of a wider Kurkish bid for independence. 5. "Turkish Kurds, watching satellite TV, warily eye Kirkuk", passions have run high for weeks in Diyarbakir, scarcely 100 miles from Iraqs northern border. But a satellite signal originating in Brussels may make Kurds on the Turkish side less likely to embrace their Iraqi counterparts than Ankara fears. 6. "Kurds in South Kurdistan wait to return", Kurdistanis who had been forced to migrate from Mossoul and Kirkuk to Dohuk, Hewler, Sulemania and Zaxo have started to return to their home lands. 1. - The Daily Star (Lebanon) - "Turkey and the Iraq conflict": 11 April 2003 The choice of Ankara as the destination for the US Secretary of States
first trip abroad since the Iraq war began is a powerful symbol of
the turbulence that has afflicted Turkish-US relations over recent
weeks. Though the platitudes at the end of the visit helped to bind
the wounds, they remain raw on both sides, and are unlikely to soothe
until the outcome of the Iraq conflict is clear. Philip Robins is a lecturer in politics and international relations
at the University of Oxford and a fellow of St. Antonys College.
He is the author of Suits and Uniforms: Turkish Foreign Policy Since
the Cold War, and wrote this commentary for The Daily Star 2. - Voice of America - "Kurdish Leaders Order Fighters Out of Kirkuk": 11 April 2003 Kurdish fighters backed by U.S. special forces swept into the city Thursday, setting off a huge celebration. Kurds pulled down statues of Saddam Hussein. They obliterated Saddam murals with bullets and paint and slashed his likeness with knives. The Kurdish occupation of Kirkuk has sent a wave of deep concern across Turkey. But U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell assured Turkish Foreign Minister Abdullah Gul by telephone Thursday that U.S. forces would soon be in charge of the city. He also said Turkey could send observers with U.S. units in Kirkuk to verify Washington's promise. Ankara fears the Kurds will try to declare an independent Kurdistan with oil-rich Kirkuk as its capital and incite a Kurdish uprising inside Turkey. Turkey has threatened to send thousands of troops into northern Iraq. But the United States has said it is dedicated to Iraq's territorial integrity. A bloody rebellion by Kurdish separatists in southeastern Turkey
in the 1980s and 1990s killed more than 30,000 people. he Kurds say
they were promised an independent state that includes parts of Iraq,
Turkey, and Syria in a 1920 treaty. 3. - The Economist - "A muddled message from an embattled new government": ISTANBUL / 10 April 2003 It is becoming unclear exactly what sort of country Turkey's prime minister, Tayyip Erdogan, hopes to build or how he wants to set about it ONLY five months ago, millions of Turkish voters, fed up with the corruption and inefficiency of Turkey's old guard of aged politicians, gave the country its first single-party government in 15 years, under the aegis of a brand-new outfit, the Justice and Development Party. The markets were enthusiastic. The main index of Istanbul's battered stockmarket shot up, while interest rates fell below 50% for the first time in nearly a decade. Here at last, it seemed, was a strong government that could push through long-delayed economic and democratic reforms, settle the Cyprus problem and give Turkey a decisive shove towards joining the European Union. But how fast things have changedfor the worse. Confidence in the party, better known by its Turkish initials AK, has begun to wear thin. The economy again looks wobbly, a UN-sponsored peace plan to reunite the Turkish and Greek bits of Cyprus is back on the shelf and, should the war in neighbouring Iraq drag on, its effects on Turkey could worsen sharply. For all of this, AK, which has never tasted power before, should not take the whole blame. The war is badly hurting Turkey's multi-billion-dollar tourism industry, which, together with exports, earns most of Turkey's foreign exchange. It had been hoped that holiday-makers would bring in some $13 billion this year. Small chance of that now, groans Turkey's habitually cheery foreign minister, Abdullah Gul. Turkey's largest tour operator, Oger, which caters mainly for Germans, says that 90% of reservations for this season have been cancelled. In Turkey's impoverished Kurdish provinces in the south-east, trade with Iraq, the mainstay for thousands of families, has dried up. True, ripostes AK's swelling army of detractors. But had Tayyip Erdogan, the AK leader who became prime minister only last month, managed to get parliament to push through a bill to let American troops attack Iraq from Turkish soil, the country's finances would have been in far better shape. When the AK-dominated parliament failed by just three votes to approve the bill, Turkey forfeited loans and grants from the United States worth $24 billion. Now, in exchange for belatedly opening airspace to aircraft of the American-led coalition, a decision that rescued American-Turkish relations from breaking down altogether, the country may settle for $8 billion. Moreover, things could still go badly wrong, if Turkey's generals decided to invade northern Iraq to stop the Kurds grabbing oilfields near Kirkuk. The Americans have told the Turks not to, as the Kurds have promised they would fight back. Turkey can ill afford another bust-up with George Bush's administration, whose support remains essential if the IMF is to continue to help. The country has to roll over total debt repayments due this year worth $93.5 billion, of which some $80 billion is short-term domestic debt. With inflation creeping back up (to nearly 30% at the latest annualised monthly rate) and interest rates on the rise once again too, the main concern now, says Atif Cezairli, head of research in Istanbul for ING, a Dutch bank, is whether the government can continue to service its debt by successfully lowering real interest rates. That in turn depends on whether the government can restore confidence in the markets. They, however, fell precipitously earlier this year, when, in a bout of populism, the government raised civil-service pensions and wages without explaining where the money to pay for them would come from. It also failed to explain how it would pay for fresh subsidies pledged to sugarbeet producers and for 15,000km (9,325 miles) of new motorways. Still, with less American cash on offer than before, the government may have regained a new sense of fiscal prudence and has now promised to cut spending and raise taxes. As a result, the IMF has agreed to disburse a loan of $1.6 billion as part of a stand-by deal worth $16 billion. But instead of releasing the money in one go, as it normally does, the Fund will do so bit by bit to ensure that the government sticks to its word. More hopeful are AK's continuing efforts to make Turkey more democratic. Last month's banning of Hadep, the country's largest pro-Kurdish party, on the flimsy charge that it was acting as a front for the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), the main separatist guerrilla group in Turkey, hardly seems to bear that out, but that case against Hadep was in fact launched under a previous government. In contrast, the new parliament has approved a clutch of sweeping constitutional reforms that will make it much harder to shut down parties and easier to prosecute torturers. Gone, too, is a much-ridiculed ban on the use of the letter W, which exists in the Kurdish alphabet but not the Turkish oneand landed many a Kurdish publisher in court. Parliament is also expected to pass a bill to scrap reduced jail sentences for honour crimes, which usually involve men murdering unmarried female relations, sometimes even for such offences as going to the cinema with a member of the opposite sex. Parliament is also likely to soften laws on broadcasting in Kurdish. It will be much harder, however, to reduce the lingering influence of Turkey's generals on politics. They still tell the minister of defence what to do. They evenwhen it comes to Cyprusappear to give orders to the prime minister. Mr Erdogan deserves credit for trying, before he became prime minister last month, to persuade the Turkish-Cypriot leader, Rauf Denktash, to sign the latest peace plan proposed by the UN. The generals, who cherish the island's Turkish part as a strategic asset, promptly slapped him down. On this point, the country's president, Ahmet Necdet Sezer, who sees the generals as the guarantor of Turkey's secular system, is their sturdy ally. Moreover, Mr Sezer has used his power to delay a number of appointments of AK nominees to senior posts in the civil service, on the ground that they are not qualified. More likely, it is because their association with Mr Erdogan dates back to the days when he was a member of an overtly Islamist party banned on charges that it sought to overturn the secular order. It is plainly hard for Mr Erdogan to decide where his loyalties ultimately
lie. The religious conservatives who have backed him already accuse
him of betraying his Islamist ideals. On the other hand, though his
own wife and those of half his cabinet cover their heads with scarves
in the traditional Muslim manner, Mr Erdogan says that the symbolic
issue of whether the headscarf may be worn in public places, long
a touchstone for secularists who abhor the practice, is not especially
important to his government. As the AK continues to muddle along in
government, many Turks are puzzled. They wonder just what are its
prioritiesand Mr Erdogan's. 4. - AFP - "Fall of Kirkuk revives Turkey's fears of Kurdish independence": by Burak Akinci The seizure on Thursday of Kirkuk, one of two strategic oil cities
in northern Iraqi, by US-backed Kurds has sharply revived fears in
Turkey of a wider Kurkish bid for independence. 5. - Eurasianet - "Turkish Kurds, watching satellite TV, warily eye Kirkuk": by Nicolas Birch / 10 April 2003 Kurdish forces reportedly took control of the northern Iraqi city of Kirkuk on April 10, a day after central Baghdad came under the effective control of American-led tanks. Turkey, after discussions with US Secretary of State Colin Powell, announced plans to send "observers" to the area to make sure Kurds do not try to set up a government. Ankara is concerned that the Kurds of northern Iraq may spill into cities like Diyarbakir and, echoing separatist groups like the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), seek to carve out an independent state. Passions have run high for weeks in Diyarbakir, scarcely 100 miles from Iraqs northern border, for weeks. But a satellite signal originating in Brussels may make Kurds on the Turkish side less likely to embrace their Iraqi counterparts than Ankara fears. "Iraqs future cant be entrusted to Iraqi Kurds theyre tribes, not democrats," says the elderly Abdulaziz, one of several ethnic Kurds in a Diyarbakir cafe. The young man beside him, Sehmus, butts in: "the only reason their leaders arent begging for Turkish money is that the United States is filling their pockets with dollars." These are common sentiments among Turkish officials, who watch Iraqi Kurdish military cooperation with American-led forces with growing concern. On April 10, according to reports, some 100 American soldiers directed several hundred Kurdish fighters in the seizure of Kirkuk in northern Iraq. Officials worry that the sight of such close collaboration may stir pan-Kurdish aspirations among Turkeys own restive Kurdish minority. Many cafe patrons had to flee their villages during the Turkish states 15-year war with the PKK. Yet, while they oppose Turkish plans to send troops into northern Iraq, their solidarity with Kurds in Iraq is, at best, lukewarm. Nine months after laws were passed permitting limited radio and television broadcasts in minority languages like Kurdish, Turkish television is still exclusively Turkish. But most patrons of the Diyarbakir cafe and most Kurds in Turkey could not care less. Since 1994, anybody with enough money to buy a satellite dish and decoder has been able to watch Kurdish programming 24 hours a day, beamed in from the Brussels headquarters of Medya-TV. "Thanks to Medya, our only reason for watching Turkish TV now is to see how much it lies," says Muzaffer, a patron of the cafe. "Only Medya is objective, the eyes and ears of our people." "Of course I would disapprove if Turkish forces clashed with the Kurdish militia," says Muzaffer, adding that he "might go to a press conference [in protest]." This is hardly the sort of reaction that the government fears, but his friends nod their agreement. "We have no faith in [Iraqi Kurdish] leaders Jalal Talabani and Massoud Barzani, you see," Muzaffer continues. "The Kurds only real hope is in prison in Imrali Island." Muzaffer is referring to PKK leader Abdullah Ocalan, in solitary confinement since 1999 off the coast of Istanbul. [For background, see the Eurasia Insight archive]. These men see Iraqi Kurds as enemies of their hero, Ocalan. PKK fighters have been since the early 1990s in northern Iraq; de facto autonomous Kurdish authorities there have sometimes collaborated with Ankaras attempts to flush the combustible PKK out of its Iraqi mountain bases. Although the PKK now consists of roughly 4,000 fighters in camps on Iraqs border with Iran, it uses a secret weapon to retain Turkish Kurds loyalty: the innumerable satellite dishes clustered on roofs throughout the region. Turkish Kurds sometimes seem more devoted to Medya than to traditions. "I sold one of my three cows to buy the equipment," says Sabri Hatipoglu, a villager in the north of Diyarbakir province. "Medya is the only channel which deals with issues relevant to me and my people," he says. "It has transformed our image of ourselves." Like Al Jazeera, the independent Qatar-based news service by which many in the Arab world swear, Medya has provoked some charges of bias. "Like its predecessor Med-TV, Medya is the mouthpiece of the PKK," says Celal Baslangic, an expert on Kurdish affairs who writes for the liberal newspaper Radikal. "Most people only watch it because theres nothing else on." In years past, Ankara cracked down on its audiences in an attempt to squelch PKK propaganda. Satellite dishes were regularly smashed and their owners arrested for "incitement to separatist hatred." Med-TV, which had operated out of London, shut down per orders of the British government after Turkish diplomats accused it of inciting terrorism in 1999. The service reappeared later in Belgium. In recent years, Ankara seems grudgingly to have accepted Medyas existence. Like the degree of danger Ankara faces from an unstable Kirkuk, Medyas psychological effects are very hard to calculate. Kemal Kirisci, a political scientist at Istanbuls Bogazici University and author of several books on Turkeys Kurdish question, says the governments indulgence toward the service "has to do with the realization that its propaganda has little ideological effect on its audience." Yet Bayram Bozyel, the Diyarbakir representative of a small Kurdish party strongly critical of the PKKs ex-Marxist cadres, voices the opposite suspicion. "Quite frankly, I wouldnt be surprised if Medya was working with Ankara," he says, half-joking. "By presenting Kurds in Iraq as the enemy, people not supporting the PKK as the enemy, Medya has done an excellent job dividing the Kurdish people." Of course, another dividing factor may be simple geography. "Medya indoctrination is stronger the further you get from the Iraqi border," adds Kendal Nezan, director of the Kurdish Institute in Paris. "Down in the frontier region of Silopi and Cizre, families overlap the border, and years of close economic links have brought the two sides together." Further towards Ankara, Kurds seem more unified in their fealty to Medya a faithfulness that may keep Kurdish nationalism from becoming the roar that Ankara fears. Editors Note: Nicolas Birch is a journalist specializing
in Turkish affairs. 6. - The Kurdish Observer - "Kurds in South Kurdistan wait to return": Kurdistanis who had been forced to migrate from Mousul and Kirkuk to Duhok, Hewler, Sulemania and Zaxo have started to return to their home lands. by Mehmet Yaman Zaxo / 10 April 2003 Kurds living in Mousul and Kirkuk wereforced to migrate by the Iraqi regime in 1975-80 and again in 1992, their lands were confiscated and settled by Arabs. Hundreds of Kurds were forcibly displaced. The Iraqi regime allowed those who stayed in the region to continue to live there on the condition of becoming an Arab. A number of Kurds have applied to the UN representative office time and again but have been replied This region is under the control of the Iraqi regime, therefore we cannot do anything for the time being. The UN has managed to settle some in Duhok, Hewler, Zaxo and Akre temporarily. Now the people want to return to their lands and organize gatherings to convince UN and local administrators to take steps on the matter. Names are listed The local administrators approach the matter with sympathy but there are no offical steps yet. Village heads organize committees and list the names of the Kurds who have been forced to migrate. Some of the clan heads and Kurdish notables are said to be determined to return whatever the stance of the local administrators may be. The tribes Mira, Musaresi, Hesina and Gergeri and Ezidis of Singal have the first place among the migrants. The names of the places where hundreds of Kurds have been evicted from are: Mousul, Kirkuk, Singal, Zimare, Tilkif, Zirhatya, Xahekin, Mendeli, Rebia, Bedrike and other villages and hamlets. People have become beggars On the other hand thousands of people who had migrated from Mousul and the surrounding region after the war struggle to survive under the most difficult conditions. Most of the Kurdish and Arabish immigrants trie to live by begging in Zaxo and Akre. It is possible to see a number of people who buy their bread by selling their gold rings and other valuable belongings. They complain that not even a camp has been set up for them. Some of them stay with their relatives. They have not yet received any humanitarian aid. They said that only their names were listed and the food was not distributed but remained in depots. Churches aid Christians and Armenians Churches support Christians who have come from Baghdad, Mousul and
Kirkuk. Hundreds of Armenians and thousand of Assyrians and Chaldeans
were given aid by the churches. The Christians live with their relatives
and other Christians in Zaxo, Duhok and other villages and districts
nearby. |